What Are Wealth Cycles?




When I began studying monetary history and wealth cycles, I was electrified by the realization that the same patterns have repeated over and over again, from ancient Greece and Rome to our own modern global society.

What really thrilled me was the realization that understanding those cycles gave me a roadmap for where today’s markets and the economy were headed. For example, I could see that every time in history that a government intervened in free markets, the markets would eventually undergo a correction. I could see that every time a government began devaluing its currency by creating more and more of it, certain events, like inflation or hyperinflation, would follow, every time.

My understanding of cycles has allowed to me to build a successful business and secure my family’s wealth. My strategy is to invest in accordance with the natural economic cycles that have occurred repeatedly throughout history.  Time and again, I have made successful investments not because I’m some financial wizard, but because my understanding of those cycles gave me just a little bit of an informational edge over the next guy.

The purpose of this introduction to the Wealth Cycle Principle is to give you the opportunity to gain that edge as well.

What is a Cycle?

The word “cycle” comes from the Greek word kyklos, meaning cycle or circle. One common definition of cycle is “a periodically repeated sequence of events.”

The idea of a cycle is symbolized by a circle, which, because there is no beginning or end, represents recurrence. The symbolic circle is often divided into segments—often two, such as the Chinese yin and yang or day/night, but more often four segments, like the seasons.

“The reward of the historian is to locate patterns that recur over time and to discover the natural rhythm of social experience.”

-William Strauss and Neil Howe, The Fourth Turning

A recognition and understanding of cycles is one way human beings are able to recognize patterns in data. As early humans learned that events in nature recur over and over again with regularity, they developed the ability to plan for the future, which ultimately led to advanced civilizations.

Human understanding of cycles goes back thousands of years, beginning with the recognition of the human life cycle. Every human who has ever lived was subject to the human life cycle of birth, childhood, adulthood, aging and death.

Early humans also recognized the life cycles of animals and plants and the regular changing of the seasons. They learned to use their understanding of cycles to plan their hunts, to know when native plants would be ripe for harvest and eventually to develop agriculture. By developing an understanding of the past, humans learned to manage the future better.

Cycles, as our ancestors recognized, are relevant in all aspects of life, be it the lifecycle of a cicada or the birth and death of a planet. In fact, even our human behavior and personalities are subject to cycles. Changes in the seasons raise or dampen our spirits; many people respond with depression to dark, dreary winter and grow cheery with the advent of warm spring sunshine and bright summer days. Many cycles trigger polarities of moods—from peace to war, or, with market cycles, from “exuberance” to “depression.”

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Randy Chambliss
Categories : Financial IQ

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